CMMC Bottleneck Coming
Why Early Adopters Are Positioned for Success
Insights based upon October 2025 Cyber AB data.
See What Primes Are Saying About CMMC 2.0CMMC Rollout Projections
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The latest Cyber AB Town Hall highlighted consistent growth in new certifications, Certified CMMC Assessors (CCAs), and CCA applications. Find key data highlights from the October 2025 Town Hall below:
- CMMC Level 2 certifications: 452 (Up 18% from September)
- CCAs: 567 (Up 7.6%)
- CCA Applications: 1,108 (Up 5.2%)
While progress has been consistent, it has also been modest. At the current rate, we are now projecting full Level 2 (C3PAO) compliance by November 2029 at the earliest.
Below is our projected assessment distribution based on October's updates:Key Takeaways for Defense Contractors
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Certification remains rare
October's modest certification growth (70) was well below the growth seen in September (95). To date, 0.38% of the estimated 118,000 contractors requiring a Level 2 (C3PAO) certification have passed their assessment.
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assessment backlog will get worse
CCAs and C3PAOs are expanding, but not quickly enough to meet rising demand. Only about 10% of Level 2 companies are currently scheduled for assessment, and with wait times already at 9–12 months, delays could stretch to 24–30 months by late 2026.
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The Early Adapter Advantage
In addition to wide-reaching contract eligibility, companies that achieve Level 2 (C3PAO) certification ahead of November 2026 will enjoy limited competition and a once-in-a-generation opportunity to grow their business pipeline as competitors wait in line.
Resources for Your CMMC Journey
CMMC 2.0's phased rollout will start before the end of the year. When you choose to start your compliance journey will be the biggest factor in winning new contracts or losing out on opportunities.
Check out these resources to guide your CMMC strategy.
Find Your CMMC Readiness Signal
Steal Our CMMC Level 2 Strategy
Webinars & Workshops
Tips for Improving Your Competitive Advantage
- Don’t mistake low certification rates as a green light to delay.
- The current low percentage of certified Level 2 companies isn’t a grace period; it’s a warning signal. Many organizations will scramble for certification once Level 2 (C3PAO) becomes a standard contract requirement in November 2026. Getting ahead now ensures you’re not caught in the bottleneck later.
- Target Q3 2026 for your C3PAO assessment.
- If you haven’t scheduled an assessment, aim for mid-2026. C3PAOs are already booking into that window, and competition for assessor availability will intensify. Remediation can take 6-18 months, depending on your environment. Start now: complete your gap assessment, plan your remediation timeline, and begin vetting C3PAOs.
- Bring in a CMMC-savvy partner.
- Achieving compliance requires technical depth and speed. External service providers can augment your IT team, accelerate remediation, and ensure your environment meets CMMC requirements (particularly if you're managing complex or hybrid infrastructures).
Ready to get ahead of the curve?
Start building your compliance plan today and talk to one of our CMMC advisors to map out your next steps.
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what the latest data reveals
Level 2 Certified companies
Of the 118,000 contractors estimated to require Level 2 certification, 452 have achieved final or conditional certification. However, the past two months have seen 165 new certifications, accounting for 36% of all certifications to date.
Certified CMMC Assessors (CCAs)
More than half of which are also Lead Assessors. Growth in CCAs has been prevalent over the past four months. Of the 253 CCAs that have been added in 2025, 178 have been certified since July.
CUMULATIVE CCA APPLICATIONS
CCA Applications have grown at a steady rate all year. The ability to scale Level 2 assessments is reliant on a steady stream of quality applications.
PERCENTAGE TO FULL LEVEL 2 COMPLIANCE
Each month, the Cyber AB releases updates tracking the growth of the CMMC ecosystem, including how many Level 2 organizations seeking certification (OSCs) are successfully completing assessments every quarter. These updates offer critical insight into the readiness of the defense industrial base.

